KTH Mathematics  



Research interests

Applied probability and computational mathematics. In particular stochastic simulation, importance sampling, large deviation theroy, markov chain monte carlo methods and queueing theory. I am also interested in general application of mathematical/computational tools in finance, physics, chemistry and such.

Upcoming events
  • PhD Course and Workshop on Extremes in Space and Time in Copenhagen, May 27-31 2013. Link.
  • PDE & Mathematical Finance V in Stockholm, Jun 10-13 2013. Link.



Papers

  • 2012. Gudmundsson, T, Hult, H.:
    Markov chain Monte Carlo for computing rare-event probabilities for a heavy-tailed random walk.
    Submitted. Arxiv.


Work in progress

  • 2012. Gudmundsson, T, Hult, H.:
    MCMC rare-event simulation study on light-tailed random walk.
  • 2012. Gudmundsson, T, Hult, H.:
    MCMC rare-event simulation study on stochastic recursive equations with heavy-tailed innovations.


Seminars / posters

  • 4th Northern Triangular Seminar, Mar 6-8 2013, Helsinki, Finland.
    "Markov chain Monte Carlo for computing probabilities of rare events in a heavy-tailed random walk." Talk.
  • Performance Analysis of Monte Carlo Methods, Nov 28-30 2012, Providence, Rhode Island, USA. Link.
    "Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology for computing probabilities of rare events." Poster.
  • 9th International Workshop on Rare Event Simulation RESIM 2012, Jun 25-27 2012, Trondheim, Norway. Link.
    "Markov chain Monte Carlo for computing probabilities of rare events in a heavy-tailed random walk." Talk.
  • 2011 INFORMS Simulation Society Research Workshop, Simulation in Complex Service Systems, Jul 18-20 2011, Montreal, Canada. Link.
    "Markov chain Monte Carlo for computing probabilities of rare events in a heavy-tailed random walk." Poster.
  • 3rd Northern Triangular Seminar, Apr 11-13 2011, St Petersburg, Russia. Link.
    "Markov chain Monte Carlo for computing probabilities of rare events in a heavy-tailed random walk." Talk.


Conference / Workshops / Summer schools

  • ICERM. Computational Challenges in Probability, Oct 29 - Dec 7 2012, Providence, Rhode Island, USA. Link.
  • Summer School in Random Geometry, Aug 8-12 2011, Reykjavik, Iceland. Link.
  • INFORMS Applied Probability Society Conferance, Jul 6-8 2011, Stockholm, Sweden. Link.
  • Stockholm-Uppsala symposium 13, May 24 2011, Uppsala, Sweden. Link.
  • Recent Developments in Mathematical Finance, May 9-10 2011, Stockholm, Sweden. Link.
  • 6th International Conference on Levy Processes: Satellite Summer School, Jul 22-24 2010, Braunschweig, Germany. Link.
  • 2nd Northern Triangular Seminar, Mar 15-17 2010, Stockholm, Sweden. Link.


Office phone: +46-8-790-6619
Email: tgud at kth dot se
Office room: 3438
Office hours: Fridays 13-15 (please call/email ahead)

Department of Mathematics
Royal Institute of Technology
SE-100 44 Stockholm
Sweden
Published by: Thorbjörn Gudmundsson
Updated: 14-Mar-2013